A report on Vintage Champagne July 2021
by CloMlr
2021-07-27
(in which we discuss why this is such a good idea!)
Miles Davis, July 2021
Vintage Champagne has been a sound investment for the last ten years, with our index annualising a return of 8.6%. The index is comprised of all the top cuveés from the giants of this most celebrated of wine regions, Dom Perignon, Krug, Louis Roderer Cristal, Pol Roger, Salon, Taittinger et cetera, et cetera. Indices never contain costs but that is not something many people bother to point out!
Champagne is, quite rightly, associated with luxury, celebrations, and fun, and is a genuine mood lifter. It is sprayed across crowds, associated with brazen displays of wealth in society hot spots, served at all manner of celebratory events, whilst also being adored by genuine connoisseurs – it finds a home across multiple layers of society and across the globe. Most of us are introduced to it at quite an early age through Bond, James Bond. In ‘Goldfinger’ Bond drinks Dom Perignon ’53, and that is what did it for me, I was hooked, although it took a fair few years after that to get my hands on the stuff! Vintage Champagne can age for decades and as supply runs down, so the price goes up (see below). It is probably the steadiest performer of all the sub sections of the fine wine market and some Champagne should be in every single cellar, collection, or portfolio always and forever!
Champagne has not really been treated as an investment staple within the wine world until relatively recently. The performance of famous brands and now the turnover in the secondary market makes it qualify for that description with consummate ease.
I have looked at these five vintage champagnes, based on their overall quality and their liquidity in the secondary market, from only the best vintages of modern times. Here are their prices (per bottle):
Vintage | 1990 | 1996 | 2000 | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 | Average |
Current prices | | | | | | | | |
Comtes de Champagne | 462 | 376 | 156 | 225 | 104 | 90 | 125 | 220 |
Cristal | 374 | 371 | 209 | 221 | 165 | 137 | 208 | 241 |
Dom Perignon | 269 | 317 | 200 | 167 | 124 | 119 | 130 | 189 |
Krug | 508 | 350 | 225 | 281 | 189 | 171 | - | 287 |
Winston Churchill | 393 | 319 | 192 | 175 | 132 | 132 | 165 | 215 |
Comtes is made by Taittinger, Cristal by Louis Roderer, Dom Perignon by Moet Hennessy and Winston Churchill is Pol Roger’s top cuvée.
What is quite amazing is how similarly these are all scored, (using WO aggregated methodology):
Vintage | 1990 | 1996 | 2000 | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 | Average |
WO Points | | | | | | | | |
Comtes de Champagne | 95 | 94 | 96 | 97 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 95.6 |
Cristal | 96 | 95 | 93 | 94 | 96 | 95 | 98 | 95.3 |
Dom Perignon | 94 | 95 | 93 | 97 | 95 | 95 | 98 | 95.3 |
Krug | 96 | 97 | 94 | 96 | 97 | 97 | - | 96.2 |
Winston Churchill | 96 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 93 | 96 | 96 | 95.1 |
Here are the PPP (price per point) scores, to establish what is good value:
Vintage | 1990 | 1996 | 2000 | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 | Average |
PPP (Price per point) | | | | | | | | |
Comtes de Champagne | 4.9 | 4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
Cristal | 3.9 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
Dom Perignon | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 |
Krug | 5.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | - | 3 |
Winston Churchill | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
Although Vinous Media only has a range of between 93 points (2000 vintage, easily the weakest of this selection) and 97+ (2008) for the different vintages, those in the know realise that ’08 is a mega vintage with ’02 breathing down its neck, which is on a par with ’96, and all of those slightly better than ’04 and ’06 and this is already reflected in the prices.
The wines are all superb, but some more superb than others. If the PPP is way below the average (in red) for any of the wines, I have little hesitation in recommending them.
When thinking about possible returns I have compared prices from the ’02, ’04, ’06 and ’08 vintages relative to the ’96 price and adjusted for time (10 years for the ’06, 12 for the ’08) for example and have come up with the following numbers (obviously this is just a simplistic exercise but interesting nonetheless):
Vintage | 2002 | 2004 | 2006 | 2008 |
Annualised ROI benchmarked to '96 price* | | | | |
Comtes de Champagne | 8.90% | 17.40% | 15.30% | 9.60% |
Cristal | 9.00% | 10.60% | 10.50% | 7.00% |
Dom Perignon | 8.30% | 10.20% | 8.50% | 6.30% |
Krug | 3.70% | 13.90% | 7.40% | - |
Winston Churchill | 10.50% | 11.70% | 9.20% | 5.70% |
*No dealing, logistics or storage costs factored in
And lastly, a look at the production levels; the Champagne houses are notorious for keeping their levels of productions under wraps, but I have gleaned some information (not necessarily 100% accurate):
Production levels (across all top cuvées, white and rosé) | Bottles | |
Comtes de Champagne | 140,000 | 2002 = 60,000 |
Cristal | 400,000 | 2009 = 800,000 |
Dom Perignon | 1 mill | |
Krug | 200,000 | |
Winston Churchill | 120,000 |
|
Of these names, Krug is on top of the pile in reputation, stature and price, Cristal and Dom Perignon are next, are truly international (and are made in huge quantities) and Comtes and Winston Churchill are more the sensible man’s choice for the price/quality ratio. I think they all make sense in their own different ways. Obviously, there are many more choices out there and grower Champagne is becoming ever more popular, but these names are dependable and highly liquid. And taste just so darn good… in case we forget!
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